• A nice come-from-behind victory for the Wild tonight, in the second game of a back to back against the best team in the Eastern Conference.
  • It was the third game in four nights for the Wild, and I thought they looked generally overmatched tonight but they still won the possession game.
  • Koivu and Parise +9 Corsi, Coyle +5. Even or -1 zone starts too. #DoWorkSon
  • Minnesota was down to 5.5% chance to win the game late in the third but they pulled it out. I’d have to do a little bit of checking but they have had a number of games lately where their expected win percent was way down there in the single digits. Not sure if that’s indicative of some team skill or not but it’s hard to argue there isn’t something there, that wasn’t there in previous seasons. And this is coming from a stat guy!

Read on…

  • Minnesota wins one-nil against Winnipeg, who was motivated to get a win for Hutch (though they still got shut out.)
  • Clearly a defensive gameplan from Mike Yeo tonight, this was a classic Minnesota Wild game. Shades of 2011
  • Case in point, 19 Fenwick events tonight. The Wild were going for controlled entries but not getting a lot of pressure. Lots of one-and-done
  • Read on…

  • A nice win by the Wild tonight, came out very strong. Good forecheck, kept Pittsburgh bottled in their own zone for long stretches at a time.
  • Need to see them play this style in the playoffs to get deeper into series.
  • Penguins have been pretty much decimated by injuries this year but always nice to beat another playoff team late in the season for a nice confidence boost.
  • Speaking of which, two of the Wild’s remaining four games are against the Eastern Conference-leading Bruins and West Conference-leading Blues. So they’ll have to be on top of their game down the stretch, which I think will be helpful for their first round chances.

Read on…

  • Talk about your late game heroics from Erik Haula. Early in the season it was Fontaine with the unexpected scoring, late in the year let’s see if Haula can keep it up with more ice time
  • Haula 15:30 ES TOI, +20/-12 with one more DZ start than OZ (-1). Solid
  • For a spell the Wild looked not to be trying to win, but to not lose. Of course, Haula changed the narrative late in the game, but the Wild were down to <5% to win the game by the ExtraSkater win expectancy formula (which I will admit I don’t know much about other than it seems to be primarily goal and time-based) Read on…

Minnesota Wild–in like a lamb, out like a lion! Read on…

  • Tough game tonight, the Devils’ game plan was clearly to go out and rough up the Wild, which they sure did. But they also gave Minnesota six power plays.
  • It sort of depends on how you want to look at this game–either they got out-muscled, or they came back and erased a sizeable deficit.
  • Check out the new win expectancy chart–the Devils were at almost 97% to win before the Wild game back late in the third.
  • A point in the standings could turn out to be quite valuable, so personally I’m glad they eked out a point at the end of a three game road trip.
  • The Wild have not been a great possession team for a good chunk of this season, which is worrisome for a couple of reasons. Did they play over their heads then, or are they underperforming now? Either option is not great. That said the young players have been growing and learning, and the lineup is really taking shape. I’m not looking past this year but this team could get dangerous next year.
  • Last year’s team probably…and two years ago definitely, the Wild would not have come back in a tough game like this, so overall I’m encouraged.

Fenwick chart for 2014-03-20 Wild 3 at Devils 4 (OT) Win expectancy chart - 2014-03-20 Wild 3 at Devils 4 (OT)

Minnesota Wild individual Corsi

Player Pos ES TOI Total Shots For Total Shots Against Corsi Net Zone Starts
Charlie Coyle C 8:50 4 5 -1 -2
Clayton Stoner D 9:42 3 4 -1 +1
Marco Scandella D 16:16 5 15 -10 -2
Cody Mccormick C 4:39 1 2 -1 +1
Mikko Koivu C 10:58 4 7 -3 -1
Zach Parise L 11:17 7 8 -1 +2
Justin Fontaine R 10:16 2 5 -3 -2
Dany Heatley L 11:07 4 9 -5 0
Ryan Suter D 19:34 12 14 -2 +1
Kyle Brodziak C 8:12 5 10 -5 0
Nino Niederreiter R 8:54 5 6 -1 0
Matt Cooke L 8:07 5 8 -3 0
Jonas Brodin D 14:49 7 12 -5 0
Matt Moulson L 11:15 2 5 -3 -2
Jason Pominville R 11:09 8 9 -1 +2
Nate Prosser D 2:44 1 2 -1 0
Jared Spurgeon D 15:37 7 10 -3 0
Mikael Granlund C 12:24 7 8 -1 +2

New Jersey Devils individual Corsi

Player Pos ES TOI Total Shots For Total Shots Against Corsi Net Zone Starts
Marek Zidlicky D 14:39 13 7 +6 -1
Andy Greene D 14:04 11 9 +2 +1
Mark Fayne D 14:09 8 7 +1 +1
Dainius Zubrus C 12:21 8 5 +3 +1
Stephen Gionta R 7:54 2 3 -1 +1
Adam Henrique C 13:00 11 7 +4 +1
Tuomo Ruutu R 13:27 5 5 0 -2
Jacob Josefson C 6:05 6 4 +2 0
Michael Ryder R 10:57 9 5 +4 0
Travis Zajac C 14:24 10 5 +5 -2
Eric Gelinas D 2:14 2 0 +2 0
Tim Sestito C 1:46 0 1 -1 +1
Bryce Salvador D 11:13 7 3 +4 0
Patrik Elias L 11:33 8 6 +2 +1
Anton Volchenkov D 9:35 6 3 +3 0
Ryane Clowe L 9:51 10 6 +4 +1
Jon Merrill D 13:23 9 7 +2 -1
Jaromir Jagr R 15:15 13 5 +8 -2
  • Talk about a slump-buster. Good ole Islanders.
  • Sorry for missing a number of games recently–the thing about working at a small business is that sometimes you have to drop what you’re doing and do job interviews for two solid weeks. The Wild need to start grabbing some more points or it’s going to get too close for comfort coming down the stretch.
  • Yeo mixed up the lines a lot tonight, scratching Haula which pissed a lot of people off. He has been very productive but he’s still a rookie. He’ll have lots of time to skate when Heatley leaves.
  • Coyle and Nino on the same line tonight, they looked pretty good. Hard to tell on a night like tonight though. Let’s see if they stay on a line. Read on…