Wild Game Notes: 4-8-14 vs Bruins plus individual Corsi and win expectancy

  • A nice come-from-behind victory for the Wild tonight, in the second game of a back to back against the best team in the Eastern Conference.
  • It was the third game in four nights for the Wild, and I thought they looked generally overmatched tonight but they still won the possession game.
  • Koivu and Parise +9 Corsi, Coyle +5. Even or -1 zone starts too. #DoWorkSon
  • Minnesota was down to 5.5% chance to win the game late in the third but they pulled it out. I’d have to do a little bit of checking but they have had a number of games lately where their expected win percent was way down there in the single digits. Not sure if that’s indicative of some team skill or not but it’s hard to argue there isn’t something there, that wasn’t there in previous seasons. And this is coming from a stat guy!

Read on…

Wild Game Notes: 4-5-14 vs Penguins plus individual Corsi and win expectancy

  • Minnesota wins one-nil against Winnipeg, who was motivated to get a win for Hutch (though they still got shut out.)
  • Clearly a defensive gameplan from Mike Yeo tonight, this was a classic Minnesota Wild game. Shades of 2011
  • Case in point, 19 Fenwick events tonight. The Wild were going for controlled entries but not getting a lot of pressure. Lots of one-and-done
  • Read on…

Wild Game Notes: 4-5-14 vs Penguins plus individual Corsi and win expectancy

  • A nice win by the Wild tonight, came out very strong. Good forecheck, kept Pittsburgh bottled in their own zone for long stretches at a time.
  • Need to see them play this style in the playoffs to get deeper into series.
  • Penguins have been pretty much decimated by injuries this year but always nice to beat another playoff team late in the season for a nice confidence boost.
  • Speaking of which, two of the Wild’s remaining four games are against the Eastern Conference-leading Bruins and West Conference-leading Blues. So they’ll have to be on top of their game down the stretch, which I think will be helpful for their first round chances.

Read on…

Wild Game Notes: 4-3-14 at Blackhawks plus individual Corsi and win expectancy

  • Talk about your late game heroics from Erik Haula. Early in the season it was Fontaine with the unexpected scoring, late in the year let’s see if Haula can keep it up with more ice time
  • Haula 15:30 ES TOI, +20/-12 with one more DZ start than OZ (-1). Solid
  • For a spell the Wild looked not to be trying to win, but to not lose. Of course, Haula changed the narrative late in the game, but the Wild were down to <5% to win the game by the ExtraSkater win expectancy formula (which I will admit I don’t know much about other than it seems to be primarily goal and time-based) Read on…

Wild Game Notes: 3-20-14 at New Jersey plus individual Corsi and win expectancy

  • Tough game tonight, the Devils’ game plan was clearly to go out and rough up the Wild, which they sure did. But they also gave Minnesota six power plays.
  • It sort of depends on how you want to look at this game–either they got out-muscled, or they came back and erased a sizeable deficit.
  • Check out the new win expectancy chart–the Devils were at almost 97% to win before the Wild game back late in the third.
  • A point in the standings could turn out to be quite valuable, so personally I’m glad they eked out a point at the end of a three game road trip.
  • The Wild have not been a great possession team for a good chunk of this season, which is worrisome for a couple of reasons. Did they play over their heads then, or are they underperforming now? Either option is not great. That said the young players have been growing and learning, and the lineup is really taking shape. I’m not looking past this year but this team could get dangerous next year.
  • Last year’s team probably…and two years ago definitely, the Wild would not have come back in a tough game like this, so overall I’m encouraged.

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Wild Game Notes: 3-18-14 at Islanders plus individual Corsi

  • Talk about a slump-buster. Good ole Islanders.
  • Sorry for missing a number of games recently–the thing about working at a small business is that sometimes you have to drop what you’re doing and do job interviews for two solid weeks. The Wild need to start grabbing some more points or it’s going to get too close for comfort coming down the stretch.
  • Yeo mixed up the lines a lot tonight, scratching Haula which pissed a lot of people off. He has been very productive but he’s still a rookie. He’ll have lots of time to skate when Heatley leaves.
  • Coyle and Nino on the same line tonight, they looked pretty good. Hard to tell on a night like tonight though. Let’s see if they stay on a line. Read on…

Wild Game Notes: 3-11-14 vs Oilers plus individual Corsi

The hockey gods are punishing me for taunting the Canucks yesterday. I hang my head in shame

Fenwick chart for 2014-03-11 Oilers 4 at Wild 3 (SO)

Minnesota Wild individual Corsi

Player Pos ES TOI Total Shots For Total Shots Against Corsi
Keith Ballard D 9:47 12 8 +4
Charlie Coyle C 17:13 13 4 +9
Marco Scandella D 17:07 9 14 -5
Cody Mccormick C 4:45 5 2 +3
Mikko Koivu C 16:40 9 7 +2
Zach Parise L 15:30 11 12 -1
Dany Heatley L 6:27 8 2 +6
Ryan Suter D 26:10 19 12 +7
Kyle Brodziak C 12:21 10 9 +1
Nino Niederreiter R 14:06 11 11 0
Matt Cooke L 13:16 7 11 -4
Jonas Brodin D 16:59 10 12 -2
Matt Moulson L 16:30 12 8 +4
Jason Pominville R 15:39 13 12 +1
Nate Prosser D 9:01 11 7 +4
Jared Spurgeon D 26:04 19 13 +6
Erik Haula L 6:15 8 1 +7
Mikael Granlund C 16:20 12 12 0

Edmonton Oilers individual Corsi

Player Pos ES TOI Total Shots For Total Shots Against Corsi
Jeff Petry D 16:32 6 8 -2
Taylor Hall L 20:49 15 15 0
Mark Fraser D 18:24 13 14 -1
Jesse Joensuu L 9:29 4 8 -4
Jordan Eberle C 15:41 10 9 +1
Justin Schultz D 21:33 18 16 +2
Luke Gazdic L 4:24 2 6 -4
Andrew Ference D 17:39 10 17 -7
Matt Hendricks C 11:04 7 9 -2
Boyd Gordon C 9:16 3 9 -6
Ryan Jones L 4:38 2 7 -5
David Perron L 21:52 15 16 -1
Nail Yakupov R 15:32 9 9 0
Oscar Klefbom D 15:12 9 17 -8
Martin Marincin D 15:35 10 8 +2
Sam Gagner C 22:07 16 16 0
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C 14:50 10 8 +2
Ryan Smyth L 5:04 2 7 -5

Wild Game Notes: 3-3-14 vs Flames plus individual Corsi

Notes and stats for tonight’s tilt against the Flames, who were playing really well before the Olympic break. The Wild handled them in shots and chances, though it was a little too close down the stretch. Brodziak and Spurgeon added goals, and it’s nice to see the secondary scoring coming through for this team, who is finally healthy after having battled injuries since October. Niederreiter and Coyle are getting bigger, stronger, and tougher every day. Watch out.

Fenwick chart for 2014-03-03 Flames 2 at Wild 3

Minnesota Wild individual Corsi

Player Pos ES TOI Total Shots For Total Shots Against Corsi Net Zone Starts
Keith  Ballard D 10:29 9 5 +4 -1
Charlie  Coyle C 15:14 6 12 -6 +2
Marco  Scandella D 19:17 8 19 -11 +2
Mikko  Koivu C 17:25 8 11 -3 +2
Zach  Parise L 17:37 15 16 -1 +3
Justin  Fontaine R 8:06 10 4 +6 0
Dany  Heatley L 14:35 8 12 -4 +1
Torrey  Mitchell C 7:56 6 3 +3 0
Ryan  Suter D 24:22 19 16 +3 +6
Kyle  Brodziak C 16:25 10 10 0 +3
Nino  Niederreiter R 15:15 8 9 -1 +3
Matt  Cooke L 15:37 9 10 -1 +3
Jonas  Brodin D 22:55 10 22 -12 +3
Jason  Pominville R 17:31 14 17 -3 +3
Nate  Prosser D 11:56 12 7 +5 -1
Jared  Spurgeon D 23:25 18 15 +3 +7
Erik  Haula L 7:25 6 3 +3 0
Mikael  Granlund C 14:57 14 18 -4 +3

Calgary Flames individual Corsi

Player Pos ES TOI Total Shots For Total Shots Against Corsi Net Zone Starts
Ladislav  Smid D 17:23 13 11 +2 -4
Kris  Russell D 17:02 11 17 -6 -1
Mark  Giordano D 21:18 18 10 +8 -3
Dennis  Wideman D 19:19 16 11 +5 -2
Tj  Brodie D 22:44 16 12 +4 -5
Joe  Colborne C 12:18 6 4 +2 -3
Mikael  Backlund C 21:05 22 17 +5 -1
Mike  Cammalleri L 19:58 20 13 +7 0
Brian  Mcgrattan R 5:20 1 6 -5 -2
Lance  Bouma L 8:59 1 7 -6 -2
Lee  Stempniak R 18:59 15 14 +1 -3
Sean  Monahan C 16:33 14 12 +2 -2
Jiri  Hudler C 18:22 16 16 0 -2
Paul  Byron C 12:35 5 3 +2 -3
Tj  Galiardi L 11:47 6 9 -3 -3
Chris  Butler D 14:38 10 15 -5 -1
David  Jones R 12:13 15 10 +5 +1
Markus  Granlund C 11:32 5 3 +2 -3

…for your health!