Posts Tagged ‘nhl’

  • I watched this whole game and I didn’t think the Wild got outplayed much at all–especially considering this was a second night of a b2b after a long Olympic break. Plus, they got completely jobbed by the interference call on Haula.That seemed to be just the edge the Canucks needed to draw out the game. Read on…

The Minnesota Wild have had a crazy couple of months—despite playing pretty terrible in terms of puck possession, they have found ways to win games. In the span of a couple weeks, the team lost their two best forwards, Zach Parise and Mikko Koivu to injury. Add onto that the injury to Jared Spurgeon and the condition of Josh Harding, and the Wild found themselves in the midst of a whole heap of adversity. Read on…

The Wild looked very composed against a top Eastern Conference team tonight. What a return by the Mighty Mouse himself, Jared Spurgeon! Two assists in just over 21:00 skated, but get this…he only skated 0:20 on the PP tonight, and 1:35 on the PK. Read on…

The Wild make it interesting late in the game and salvage overtime, but sloppy play by Minnesota in this one… Read on…

Fancy stats for tonight’s OT thriller against the Sharks…

Fenwick chart for 2014-01-25 Wild 2 at Sharks 3 (OT)

Minnesota Wild individual Corsi

Player Pos ES TOI Corsi Net Zone Starts
Keith  Ballard D 13:27 -4 0
Charlie  Coyle C 19:52 -9 +7
Clayton  Stoner D 10:06 -5 -1
Marco  Scandella D 22:34 -8 +2
Zach  Parise L 19:51 -9 +7
Justin  Fontaine R 13:31 -4 +1
Dany  Heatley L 16:06 -4 0
Torrey  Mitchell C 7:49 -9 0
Ryan  Suter D 28:12 -17 +5
Kyle  Brodziak C 13:42 -8 0
Nino  Niederreiter R 17:03 -4 +6
Matt  Cooke L 14:15 -12 0
Jonas  Brodin D 24:40 -12 +6
Mike  Rupp C 6:40 -1 0
Jason  Pominville R 18:27 -5 -1
Nate  Prosser D 19:57 -8 0
Erik  Haula L 7:15 -6 0
Mikael  Granlund C 17:57 -3 -2

San Jose Sharks individual Corsi

Player Pos ES TOI Corsi Net Zone Starts
Jason  Demers D 17:52 +7 -1
Brad  Stuart D 20:38 +2 +2
Joe  Pavelski C 20:24 +12 -5
Andrew  Desjardins C 16:18 +4 -3
Patrick  Marleau C 19:53 -2 +1
Mike  Brown R 3:57 +3 0
Joe  Thornton C 20:23 +18 -7
Dan  Boyle D 19:43 +15 -7
Bracken  Kearns C 10:58 +10 0
John  Mccarthy L 6:26 +4 -1
Marc-Edouard  Vlasic D 18:27 +7 -1
Matt  Irwin D 20:45 +20 -7
Tommy  Wingels C 15:50 +2 +1
Justin  Braun D 21:32 +2 +2
Eriah  Hayes R 8:18 -1 -2
Tyler  Kennedy C 14:06 +8 -1
Matt  Nieto L 16:21 +10 +1
Brent  Burns R 19:37 +5 -3

The month of January has been a very interesting one the Minnesota Wild, to say the least. They lost their two best skaters to injury in Mikko Koivu and Zach Parise, plus one of the best feel-good stories in the league in Josh Harding, who was really holding the team together through their offensive struggles earlier in the season. And yet, the club is 8-3 during this month, and as of today they sit in the 8th spot of the Western Conference playoffs–with a four point lead over Phoenix, who has two games in hand. The computers give the Wild a 51% chance to make the postseason, and the Yotes a 38% chance, so it’s really anybody’s game at this point. Or is it? Stats guys get a bad rep for being the bearers-of-bad-news, of throwing ice water on everything…and unfortunately today I’m going to step right into that stereotype. Read on…

Sort of a stream of consciousness for tonight’s tilt against Chicago, featuring the triumphant return of Zach Parise…
  • J.P. Parise does the ‘Let’s play hockey!’ chant…no coincidence there
  • So some of the guys do this thing where they get in a circle and juggle a soccer ball before the game, and I kind of love that they do, and they show it on tv sometimes. Cool pregame ritual, gets them loosened up, focused, etc.
  • Brodziak-Cooke-Fontaine doing a halfway effective job forechecking against the Toews line, like to see that.
  • Wild doing a good job moving the puck early in this game, couple of good redirect attempts in the first couple minutes
  • Great goal by Pominville, Heatley makes a gutsy pass, surprised he got it through. Granlund, Heatley, and Pominville all touched that puck on the rush Read on…

True story: before the game, the Wild radio broadcasters were trying to make the case that without Koivu and Parise, the team was MORE DIFFICULT to play against…for some reason? Something about (and I promise this is true) Jacques Lemaire old-tyme hockey. This team has been playing horribly lately in terms of possession. But because hockey, they’ve scraped out some wins. Good goaltending and some fortunate puck bounces have kept them in some games and they’ve put a few points in their hip pocket. But I’ve felt for a while like the team is on borrowed time, and sooner rather than later the hammer will fall. Read on…

Stats and narratives…narratives and stats. Which is the chicken and which is the egg?

It sort of depends on who you ask, naturally. Part of what we stats folk try to do is to look at the ‘facts’ or the numbers to try to sort out what’s really going on from what the broadcasters and the media guys create as the cover the teams for those grueling months. A lot of narratives can be debunked with stats, and there is often tension between numbers people and non-numbers people for this reason. But a lot of media people are good at using underlying numbers as well, so the last thing I mean to do is create a false dichotomy. However, as with many things in life–not just in sports–it all depends on your perspective, and looking at things from different angles can yield different stories. Case in point: the Minnesota Wild’s playoff chances. Read on…

Today I run down the playoff odds for each conference, and look at some probably first round matchups. And, I discuss whether fancy stats take the -fun- out of the sport.